Currency Price Risk Hedging and Speculation in a Random Walk Market   If the spot price of a currency follows a random walk with no drift, it will be a better predictor of the future spot price than the futures price. Using data over the 1984-1995 ...

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Stock prices and the East Asian Financial Crisis  In the study by Kaminsky et al . (1998), stock prices are found to be the fourth best predictor of currency crises, of the variables used and the fourth best in terms of the ...

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